As of December 6, 2024, A report by consulting firm Grid Strategies found that US electricity demand could rise 128 GW over the next five years, driven by data centers and manufacturing growth, mainly in six regions. [1] The estimate represents a five-fold increase in load growth forecasts over the past two years. The estimates are based on annual planning reports submitted to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission by electric balancing authorities, with updates from utilities and planning regions. FERC Form 714 in 2022 estimated a five-year peak load growth of about 23 GW. A review of utility planning documents indicated that 61 GW could be added to FERC’s 2024 five-year estimates. According to the report, an additional 61 GW of growth means nationwide electric demand is forecast to increase by 15.8% by 2029. Texas added 37 GW to its 2029 forecast, resulting in an updated forecast of 43 GW through 2029. The report also noted that PJM’s 2029 peak load forecast increased from 153.3 GW to 165.7 GW – an 8.1% increase in two years. However, PJM utilities have increased their projections of large load additions for 2029 from 15 GW to 30 GW.

[1] https://gridstrategiesllc.com/wp-content/uploads/National-Load-Growth-Report-2024.pdf