Published as of April 15, 2025, the Energy Information Administration’s Annual Energy Outlook 2025 (AEO2025) explores potential long-term energy trends in the US, including projections of energy consumption and supply. [1] The report can help stakeholders examine the ways in which the US energy system could change through 2050. [2] According to AEO2025, total energy consumption in the US will decline through 2040 before increasing again, due to efficiency and the report’s methodology. The report also indicates significant growth in renewable electricity production through 2050, alongside a decline in coal generation. It forecasts growth from 2.57 quads of wind and solar in 2024 to 13.92 quads in 2050. Coal production will decline from 10.26 quads in 2024 to 2.78 quads in 2050. Meanwhile, natural gas production is expected to rise modestly to 43.5 quads in 2050 up from 40 quads in 2024. In a statement, Department of Energy spokesperson Andrea Woods stated that the report reflects the “disastrous path for American energy production under the Biden Administration.”

[1] https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/2025/AEO2025-narrative.pdf

[2] https://www.energy.gov/articles/doe-statement-eia-annual-energy-outlook